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Price of milk is up 34%, cheese 17.9% and eggs 14.6% – as inflation reaches 40-year high

Everyday food items have soared in price by as much as 34 per cent, shocking new figures show, laying bare the true cost of inflation as it reached another 40-year-high today. 

New stats reveal the headline CPI rate reached 10.1 per cent in July – well above analysts’ predictions of 9.8 per cent. It was up from 9.4 per cent the previous month, driven largely by fuel and food prices. 

It is the highest inflation has been since February 1982, when the measure was estimated to have been 10.4 per cent, and comes amid a cost-of-living crisis that is seeing prices spiral on everything from package holidays to fish and chips and even toothbrushes. 

A slew of supermarket items have also far outpaced the inflation rate, with the cost of low fat milk rising by 34 per cent on average over the past 12 months, according to the latest data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS). 

Other dairy products also topped the list, with whole milk surging by 28.1 per cent, butter by 27.1 per cent and cheese by 17 per cent over the same period. 

Other essentials such as olive oil, jam and honey and eggs rose by 23.6 per cent, 21.2 per cent and 14.6 per cent respectively. 

Susannah Streeter, analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: ‘The relentless rise upwards in prices continues, with little sign of a break for consumers who are desperately trying to make ends meet.

A slew of supermarket items have also far outpaced the inflation rate, with the cost of low fat milk rising by 34 per cent on average over the past 12 months, according to the latest data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS)

A slew of supermarket items have also far outpaced the inflation rate, with the cost of low fat milk rising by 34 per cent on average over the past 12 months, according to the latest data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS)

The headline CPI rate reached 10.1 per cent in July – well above analysts’ predictions of 9.8 per cent. It was up from 9.4 per cent the previous month

‘With more painful hikes in energy bills to come, and prices rising rapidly in supermarkets, many consumers are already having to make some hard choices about how to spend their dwindling budgets. 

‘The path is set for a scorching summer of price rises to merge into a pretty awful Autumn and a winter of woe as households struggle against this tide of inflation.’

The ONS figures also showed sharp rises in poultry (16.1 per cent), fish (13.4 per cent) and crisps (13.4 per cent). 

ONS Chief Economist Grant Fitzner said: ‘A wide range of price rises drove inflation up again this month. Food prices rose notably, particularly bakery products, dairy, meat and vegetables, which was also reflected in higher takeaway prices. 

‘Price rises in other staple items, such as pet food, toilet rolls, toothbrushes and deodorants also pushed up inflation in July.

‘Driven by higher demand, the price for package holidays rose, after falling at the same time last year while air fares also increased.

‘The cost of both raw materials and goods leaving factories continued to rise, driven by the price of metals and food respectively.’

It comes as experts predict the current inflation rate could be smashed later in the year, when the Bank of England expects the level to top 13 per cent.

The latest increase – together with relatively robust jobs market figures yesterday – will reinforce speculation that the Bank will hike interest rates again next month.

That could help rein in rampant prices, but would also heap more pain on Britons, as wages lag far behind.

Fuel costs have been surging adding to the upward pressure on inflation

Fuel costs have been surging adding to the upward pressure on inflation 

Meanwhile, holidaying Boris Johnson has been accused of being on ‘shore leave’ by business chiefs, who raised alarm that there is ‘no captain’ in Downing Street to deal with the problems.    

His would-be successors have been trading blows as they battle for the keys to No10. Former Cabinet minister Sajid Javid said would-be PM Liz Truss is the ‘right person’ to tackle the crisis.

But Rishi Sunak condemned her proposals as a ‘moral failure’ to support the most vulnerable families. 

Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi admitted that ‘times are tough’ but warned there are ‘no easy solutions’ and getting inflation under control is his ‘top priority’. 

Captain Boris accused of being on ‘shore leave’ while cost-of-living crisis rages  

Boris Johnson is facing criticism for going missing while the country grapples with a cost-of-living crisis.

Asda chairman Lord Rose criticised a ‘horrifying’ absence of fresh support, saying: ‘The captain of the ship is on shore leave – nobody is in charge at the moment.’

The Conservative peer questioned when an emergency budget will be brought forward as he warned that ‘inflation isn’t sitting there waiting for us’ as the cost-of-living crisis deepened.

Mr Johnson is holidaying in Greece with wife Carrie, soon after they went on honeymoon to Slovenia. They are expected to be based at Chequers rather than Downing Street for his remaining three weeks in office.

Lord Rose, a former chief at Marks & Spencer, told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘We’ve got to have some action. The captain of the ship is on shore leave – nobody is in charge at the moment.’

He added: ‘Nothing is happening. We’re sitting here now, into the fourth month of the crisis, and we’re still waiting to see what action will be taken – it’s horrifying.’

The peer called for fresh targeted action to help ‘those who need it most’ as he warned the nation is ‘heading towards a recession’.

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At hustings in Northern Ireland, Ms Truss insisted she would target inflation – but said less revenue would be raised for the public purse if taxation remains too high.

‘I think we have got to the stage in our economy where taxes are too high and they are potentially choking off growth,’ she said.

For his part Mr Sunak said: ‘I believe that we have to support vulnerable groups, those on low incomes and pensioners, directly with financial support, because a tax cut does not work for those people.

‘Liz’s plan is to say ‘well I believe in tax cuts not direct support’. I don’t think that’s right because a tax cut for someone on her salary means £1,700 of help.’

Someone on the national living wage would get a tax cut of £1 a week, he said, while it is worth ‘precisely zero’ for a pensioner who is not working.

‘That’s not a plan that I think is right for our country,’ Mr Sunak said.

‘If we don’t directly help those vulnerable groups, those on the lowest incomes, those pensioners, then it will be a moral failure of the Conservative Government and I don’t think the British people will forgive us for that.’

Mr Zahawi said: ‘I understand that times are tough, and people are worried about increases in prices that countries around the world are facing.

‘Although there are no easy solutions, we are helping where we can through a £37 billion support package, with further payments for those on the lowest incomes, pensioners and the disabled, and £400 off energy bills for everyone in the coming months.

‘Getting inflation under control is my top priority, and we are taking action through strong, independent monetary policy, responsible tax and spending decisions, and reforms to boost productivity and growth.’

Separate official data showed RPI inflation reached 12.3 per cent in July.

In the past this measure has been used to cap the following year’s price increases on some train tickets in England, Scotland and Wales. 

With inflation running away, the UK Government will keep the 2023 rises below RPI.

However, it has not revealed how it plans to calculate the rises.

Rishi Sunak

Liz Truss

Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss have been trading blows over how to tackle the cost of living crisis

The Bank of England expects CPI inflation to peak later this year at 13.3 per cent, with the UK headed for a recession.

The energy price cap – which regulates what more than 20million households pay for their gas and electricity – is due to rise again in October.

The cap is set to hit around £3,635 according to the latest predictions. That would be an 84 per cent rise from today’s already record high price cap.

However, the Bank’s forecast for July’s CPI was 9.9 per cent, 0.2 percentage points behind the actual number.

Credit card spending surges amid rising bills 

Credit card spending has shot up by a third as more people turn to borrowing cash amid the cost-of-living crunch.

UK credit card holders spent just under £20 billion in May, a 33 per cent jump in the total spend compared to the same month last year, according to official figures from trade body UK Finance.

Debt was also on the up, with outstanding balances on credit card accounts growing nearly 10 per cent in the year to May.

The number of credit card transactions also rose by more than a quarter year-on-year, with around 357 million payments in May by UK cardholders both in the country and oversees.

Consumer Prices Index inflation had reached 7.9 per cent in the year to May and has since risen further.

Credit card spending has been increasing steadily since the start of the year, coinciding with the rising cost of bills and double-digit food and drink inflation.

Meanwhile, total debit card spending edged up by just 1 per cent compared to the same period last year, UK Finance said.

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Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the difference was mainly down to surging food prices.

Food and non-alcoholic beverages prices increased by 12.7 per cent, the ONS said, a rise from 9.8 per cent the month before and the highest since August 2008.

The statisticians track the prices of 11 food and non-alcoholic beverages categories, and in July all of them rose.

The biggest impacts on inflation were from bread and cereals, and milk, cheese and eggs.

Shop-bought milk, cheddar and yoghurt prices ‘increased notably’, the ONS said.

There were also smaller impacts from rising cooked ham and bacon prices, vegetables, sugar and jam, among other things.

Rocio Concha, director of policy and advocacy at Which?, said: ‘These figures underline the scale of the cost-of-living crisis and make clear that millions of people face a dire financial situation in the months ahead.

‘With bills set to rise further, it’s clear that the current level of cost-of-living government help will not be sufficient.

‘Ministers must now move quickly to increase the amount of support for those who are struggling, and businesses in essential sectors, such as supermarkets, energy and telecoms, must also do everything they can to make sure customers are getting a good deal and extra support if they need it.’

Credit card spending has shot up by a third as more people turn to borrowing cash amid the cost-of-living crunch.

UK credit card holders spent just under £20 billion in May, a 33 per cent jump in the total spend compared to the same month last year, according to official figures from trade body UK Finance.

Debt was also on the up, with outstanding balances on credit card accounts growing nearly 10 per cent in the year to May.

The number of credit card transactions also rose by more than a quarter year-on-year, with around 357 million payments in May by UK cardholders both in the country and oversees.

Consumer Prices Index inflation had reached 7.9 per cent in the year to May and has since risen further.

Credit card spending has been increasing steadily since the start of the year, coinciding with the rising cost of bills and double-digit food and drink inflation.

Meanwhile, total debit card spending edged up by just 1 per cent compared to the same period last year, UK Finance said.

Figures yesterday showed pay tumbling at a record rate relative to inflation

Figures yesterday showed pay tumbling at a record rate relative to inflation

House price boom runs out of steam 

UK house prices rose by 7.8 per cent annually in June as growth slowed sharply in the face of pressure on households and rising interest rates, according to official figures.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that growth pulled back from 12.8 per cent in May.

The latest figure represented the weakest growth since July last year.

Property price increases partly slowed year on year due to a jump last June as prospective buyers sought to strike deals ahead of the end of the stamp duty holiday.

The ONS said the average house price was £286,000 in June, representing a £20,000 increase against the same month last year.

In England, average house prices increased by 7.3 per cent to £305,000 over the year.

In Wales, the average prices grew 8.6 per cent to £213,000, while in Scotland prices rose 11.6 per cent to £192,000, and in Northern Ireland they increased 9.6 per cent to £169,000.

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In brutal blue-on-blue clashes at Tory leadership hustings last night, Mr Sunak said Ms Truss’s plans to cut tax to help families through the cost of living crisis would be worth ‘precisely zero’ to pensioners.

He said her proposals would be worth just ‘a quid a week’ to someone on the national living wage.

Ms Truss has pledged to reverse the national insurance hike to help struggling families, but has not ruled out offering further support. 

But Mr Sunak said the right way to help people with higher energy bills is through direct support.

He told the hustings: ‘The tax cuts that Liz is proposing are worth about £1,700 to someone on her income. For someone working very hard on the national living wage, it’s worth about a quid a week.’

A Truss campaign source responded: ‘It’s clear that Nicola Sturgeon isn’t the only attention seeker in Scotland. It’s a shame that Sunak has had to stoop this low just to get a headline.’ 

Unions have warned the cost-of-living crisis has become a ‘living nightmare’ for workers as another wave of industrial unrest begins.

Unite general secretary Sharon Graham said inflation has reached ‘new perilous levels’ for workers and their families.

‘Yesterday, real wages fell to the lowest on record, So if today’s figures prove anything it’s that wages are not driving inflation.

‘Since the pandemic, the FTSE top 350 have seen profits soar by 43%. Britain has a profiteering crisis – when is something going to be done about that?’

Unison assistant general secretary Jon Richards said: ‘The cost-of-living crisis has become a living nightmare for millions of working people.

‘Wages are slumping at a record rate while prices and bills shoot up, but the Government and those angling to be the next prime minister appear indifferent to the plight of those struggling to make ends meet.

‘Ministers are deluded if they think workers can put up with yet more misery. Above inflation pay rises are essential to rescue families on the brink.’

TUC general secretary Frances O’Grady said: ‘Families are facing a cost-of-living emergency. Ministers must cancel the catastrophic rise to energy bills this autumn, and to reduce future inflationary pressures and make energy more affordable, they should bring energy retail into public ownership.

‘To help people with the cost of living this winter, Government should bring forward increases to universal credit and the national minimum wage.

‘Companies that were supported by the taxpayer through the pandemic must step up to help too. They should show profit restraint to help keep prices down and to prioritise pay rises for staff.’

Industrial disputes are raging in several sectors of the economy, with unions attempting to negotiate pay rises close to inflation.

A fresh round of rail strikes will start on Thursday, BT, Royal Mail and Post Office workers will walk out from next week, and health workers including nurses are to start voting on strikes over pay.

How bad will inflation get, and what can you do to ease the pain? 

The surging cost of living is pushing more and more households towards breaking point as rising food and fuel prices sent inflation to double figures for the first time in 40 years.

Combined with eye-watering gas and electricity tariff increases, consumers are facing soaring costs at every turn.

What lies ahead and what can be done to mitigate price rises and keep households afloat through the crisis?

Why is everything more expensive?

Covid-19 has hit global supply chains with a combination of pent-up demand and delays to shipping as factories across the world face lockdowns and worker absences. This has led to prices rising, particularly for raw materials.

Food prices have also risen as wages increase, including for HGV drivers due to recent shortages, with thousands of drivers leaving the UK to return to their home countries in the EU.

Pressure on food and energy prices is being exacerbated as the full impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the sanctions against President Vladimir Putin’s regime unfold.

Gas and oil prices have been supercharged by the sudden reduction in supply from Russia, one of the world’s biggest exporters for the energy sector.

The UN Food and Agriculture Organisation has projected that the conflict will lead to a rise in global food prices in 2022 of between 8% and 22%.

Will inflation remain high?

The peak in inflation is still some way off, and is not expected to return to the 2% target before mid-2024.

The Bank of England most recently predicted that inflation could peak at around 11% in October, however economists have produced forecasts showing it could rise as much as 15% in a worst case scenario.

This means more pain is on the way for household budgets as the high rate of inflation continues to outpace wage growth, bringing down the real value of incomes across the UK.

Will energy bills get higher and what can I do to cope with them?

Experts at Cornwall Insight said bills could rise from a current record of £1,971 to around £3,582 in October and then further to £4,266 at the start of next year.

The forecasts are based on what an average household will spend on gas and electricity in a year. A household that buys more energy could see higher bills.

Generally, households are encouraged to aim towards building up a credit balance with their supplier to offset higher prices in winter, although there is widespread concern that the increase in Ofgem’s price cap in October will stretch many households beyond what they can afford. The best option now is to ensure homes are insulated and as energy efficient as possible. The only real way to cut energy costs is to use as little as possible in the first place.

What about food, and how can I reduce the cost of my grocery basket?

Britons are being hit by sharply higher grocery bills, with food and non-alcoholic drink prices having risen by 12.7% in the year to July – the highest since August 2008.

Food prices lifted 2.3% month on month in July, accelerating from previous increases in April, May and June as higher cost pressures and the impact of the Ukraine war filter down to the supermarket shelves.

Grocery price inflation is seeing more shoppers turning to cheaper products and supermarket own-brand labels, while customers are also making fewer trips to stores to save on petrol costs, Kantar said.

Consumers are advised to think about shopping for own-brand or value grocery products and set a strict, affordable supermarket budget. Supermarket loyalty schemes can help with making savings.

Cashback sites, and their welcome offers, can be another way of making household budgets stretch further.

What Government help is coming?

A first instalment of £326 was paid out to low-income households on benefits last month, with a second payment of £324 to follow in the autumn.

The Department for Work and Pensions and HM Revenue and Customs have been identifying those eligible to receive a cost-of-living payment.

Many people will have received the first instalment in July, although for those receiving tax credits, the first payment is to be made from the autumn and the second from winter 2022.

Pensioner households will also receive an extra £300 to help cover the rising cost of energy this winter, while people on disability benefits will receive an extra £150 payment in September.

From October, households will also have £400 taken off energy bills, although politicians have come under pressure to increase this.

People may also see an income boost in their pay packets, as national insurance (NI) starting thresholds increased from £9,880 to £12,570 from July 6.

However, this was after a 1.25 percentage point increase in NI in April, to help pay for health and social care.

What else can I do to avoid the pinch?

There is no way around it – households need to start thinking very carefully about their spending across the board to counter those price rises they cannot control such as energy and fuel.

A quick look over the monthly bank statement should be a good start.

Always shop around and use comparison sites for phone, broadband and insurance rather than just rolling over into the next year to keep charges and premiums at a minimum.

Consider whether subscriptions are still useful and providing a good deal – many people signed up to new services such as Spotify, Netflix or Sky during lockdown and may no longer use them as much.

The Government-backed MoneyHelper service has budgeting guides at www.moneyhelper.org.uk/en/everyday-money/budgeting

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