Man City have been OVERTAKEN as favourites to win the Premier League

Manchester City is likely to be the reigning English, European and world champions – however they’re not the favourites to win the Premier League, based on new statistics. 

City are in all probability the very best crew on the earth in the intervening time, coming off the again of a sensational Treble in 2022-23, however they’re but to start out firing at their ferocious and ruthless finest this time period.

That being mentioned, Pep Guardiola’s facet are nonetheless third within the desk, 4 factors off high with a sport in hand so they continue to be effectively throughout the dialog, and their earlier pedigree has nonetheless stored them as favourites for a lot of. 

The Citizens had regarded near happening one in all their fearsome ‘runs’ the place they seem all however unstoppable, however they got here throughout one thing of a street block towards Chelsea on the weekend. 

A late Rodri equaliser spared their blushes after Raheem Sterling got here again to hang-out his former membership within the first half, the sport ending 1-1 and City dropping factors – which would seem to have harm their probabilities of retaining their crown.  

Pep Guardiola’s facet fell to a 1-1 draw at residence to Chelsea on Saturday in a blow to their title possibilities

The reigning champions noticed their title ambitions take a 17 per cent hit as they misplaced additional floor

Erik ten Hag’s facet have been in good type of late and have seen their Champions League hopes enhance

According to Twenty First Group knowledge, Man City are actually solely second favourites to go all the best way – however solely by a single share level. 

That comes after a gameweek that noticed City’s possibilities take a 17 per cent hit, whereas Liverpool’s improved by 11 per cent and Arsenal’s by seven per cent. 

Despite a drastic summer time overhaul, Liverpool are actually edging out the champions, and prepared the ground with a 38 per cent likelihood of profitable the title. 

The Reds are high of the desk on 57 factors, having misplaced simply two video games all yr, and are nonetheless in with a shout of profitable the Carabao Cup, FA Cup, Europa League and Premier League this time period. 

They will even maybe be pushed on by the truth that their talismanic supervisor Jurgen Klopp has already introduced his intentions to go away the membership on the finish of the marketing campaign, with everybody at Anfield aiming to ship him off as a champion as soon as once more. 

Behind the Reds are City on 37 per cent, with Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal – runners-up in 2022-23 – in third, on 25 per cent. 

The Gunners have had one other spectacular season, though a wobble within the festive interval noticed them fall off the tempo. 

However, victory over Liverpool earlier in February sign-posted a return to their finest kind, they usually have since scored 21 objectives in 5 video games. 

City’s draw has seen them slip to second place as Liverpool over take them on share likelihood to elevate the title

Jurgen Klopp’s facet are high of the desk and have now overtaken Man City because the most certainly champions

Arsenal have been in blistering type of late after scoring 21 objectives in 5 video games to place them second within the desk

Arteta and Co are solely two factors behind Liverpool now in second place, and regardless of taking 4 factors from the Reds and three from City already this time period, are deemed the third-most probably champions by Twenty First Group. 

There is then a sizeable drop-off to fourth and fifth, with each Aston Villa and Tottenham given lower than a one per cent likelihood of profitable the title – the one different groups above zero. 

In phrases of the race for the Champions League spots, every of the highest three have greater than a 99 per cent likelihood of securing qualification, maybe understandably. 

Villa and Spurs have a 73 per cent and 62 per cent likelihood respectively of creating the competitors, whereas Manchester United (28 per cent), Newcastle (seven per cent), Chelsea (5 per cent), Brighton (4 per cent) and West Ham (one per cent) are exterior contenders. 

Tottenham nevertheless have seen their probabilities of qualification take a 16 per cent hit after shedding 2-1 at residence to Wolves on Saturday, whereas United’s hopes are up six % amid their very own mini-resurgence.

Unai Emery’s Villa seemingly had the very best week of the lot, their hopes of ending within the Champions league spots growing by 12 per cent after they beat Fulham 2-1 at Craven Cottage. 

Data from Twenty First Group exhibits how the latest gameweek has altered the percentages of Premier League Success and Champions League qualification this time period

Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham have seen their Champions League hopes drop after defeat by Wolves at residence on Saturday

Meanwhile, on the different finish of the desk, Nottingham Forest’s win over West Ham noticed them obtain a lift within the bid to beat the drop. 

They now stand 12 per cent higher off of their relegation battle, whereas Luton have dropped by 9 per cent.

The three sides promoted to the top-flight at the beginning of the season nonetheless rank because the most certainly candidates for demotion, with Luton at 71 per cent, Burnley at 92 per cent and Sheffield United virtually a certainty for the drop at 98 per cent.

Despite at the moment sitting within the backside three and receiving a 10-point penalty, Sean Dyche’s Everton are solely the fourth-most probably facet to go down, with an 18 per cent relegation likelihood.