What states are voting on Super Tuesday: The final information
- 15 states are holding their Republican presidential main elections on Tuesday
- There are 865 GOP delegates at stake within the concurrent elections
- The day represents Nikki Haley’s seemingly closing shot to beat Donald Trump
The greatest day of the first election season is lastly right here.
Thousands of voters from 15 states will head to the polls to forged their ballots on Super Tuesday in what may very well be essentially the most consequential 24 hours of the Republican presidential race, particularly for one candidate.
Will Donald Trump in a clear sweep of all of the states? Can Nikki Haley probably hold going if she has suffered a wave of defeats by the early hours of Wednesday morning?
With 865 delegates up for grabs, Haley will seemingly make her final stand on Tuesday in opposition to the previous president.
If she is unable to earn sufficient delegates to stay viable within the race, Tuesday may very well be the final nail within the coffin of her flailing marketing campaign.
Before Tuesday, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina, Michigan, Idaho, Missouri and North Dakota, together with Washington DC and and the U.S. Virgin Islands already forged their ballots.
After these contests, Trump stands with 273 delegates to Haley’s 43. The former United Nations Ambassador bought a lift when she earned all 19 of the delegates from D.C. over the weekend.
This 12 months, 15 states will vote on Super Tuesday: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia.
Ahead of Super Tuesday, Haley barnstormed some key states, together with Virginia, North Carolina, Massachusetts, Vermont, Maine and Texas.
On Tuesday evening, Haley plans to be in South Carolina – main many to invest that she is going to drop out of the race lastly if the outcomes of Super Tuesday do not sway her manner and provides her sufficient momentum to earn the 1,215 wanted to clinch the GOP‘s presidential nomination.
Trump already handily defeated Haley in all 4 of the early main states – together with her house state of South Carolina – by double digits. And pro-MAGA world claimed no Republican would wish to win D.C. after Haley’s victory there.
Polls have Trump far forward in a lot of the states set to vote, which means most of the outcomes may very well be lopsided.
DailyMail.com breaks down every little thing you could learn about Super Tuesday this 12 months and what to look at as voters head to the polls.
Thousands of voters from 15 states will head to the polls for what has been identified because the Seventies as ‘Super Tuesday’
ALABAMA
Delegate Count: 50 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 7pm
Early in-person voting?: No
Open/Closed main election?: Open. Voters can select which celebration’s poll they want to vote in. This choice doesn’t register the voter with a political celebration.
Polling: A Morning Consult ballot taken January 23-February 4 of seemingly voters in Alabama places Trump a commanding 75 p.c forward of Haley (87 p.c to 12 p.c).
A deep crimson state in Trump nation, Alabama is prone to have all their delegates go to the previous president.
But Alabama has change into the middle of controversy concerning girls’s healthcare rights after a state Supreme Court ruling deemed fertilized eggs for IVF remedies are thought-about human life.
This resulted in IVF services within the state pausing operations amid dialogue over how you can deal with the fertilized eggs with their new classification.
Alabama was one in every of greater than a dozen states with set off legal guidelines, which means when the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in June 2022, abortion turned primarily unlawful. The state now has one of the strict abortion legal guidelines within the nation.
In each the 2016 and 2020 basic elections, 62 p.c of Alabama voted for Trump.
If the first doesn’t yield outcomes with a candidate incomes not less than 51 p.c of the vote, Alabama holds a runoff a couple of weeks later with the highest two candidates on the poll.
Since Trump and Haley are the one viable remaining candidates, it is seemingly Trump will stroll away with significantly greater than the required threshold to keep away from a runoff.
Haley was on the talk stage together with then-remaining 2024 rivals Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie.
Trump refused to take part in any main debates.
Donald Trump was all the time the seemingly candidate for Republicans in 2024 – however after sweeping the primary 4 main states in January and February, his nomination turned all however locked-up. Pictured: Trump speaks at a marketing campaign rally in Waterford Township, Michigan on Feb. 17, 2024
The University of Alabama hosted the fourth Republican presidential main debate on Dec. 6, 2023 with former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Haley, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy. Trump refused to take part in main debates
ALASKA
Delegate Count: 29 – proportional
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 8pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 15 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Alaska makes use of a pick-one main election. It means all candidates, no matter celebration, seem on a single poll and voters select one. The prime 4 candidates who earn essentially the most variety of votes transfer onto the final election.
Polling: There seems to be no available polling for the presidential main election in Alaska. But hypothetical basic election match-ups from Alaska Survey Research carried out in October 2023 put Trump 8 share factors forward of President Joe Biden.
ARKANSAS
Delegate Count: 40 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: 7:30am to 7:30pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 15 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Open. Voters can select which celebration’s poll they want to vote in. It doesn’t register the voter with a selected political celebration.
Polling: There seems to be no available polling for the presidential main between Trump and Haley in Arkansas. A ballot from Echelon Insights in September 2023 put Trump 29 share factors forward of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who was nonetheless within the main race on the time.
Former United Nations Amb. Nikki Haley refused to drop out of the race after every defeat within the early main contest states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina. Super Tuesday is her final likelihood to stop Trump from selecting up sufficient delegates to sink her probabilities of an upset. Pictured: Haley speaks throughout a rally in Bloomington, Minnesota on Feb. 26, 2024
CALIFORNIA
Delegate Count: 169 – winner take most, except a 50 p.c threshold is reached, then it is winner take all.
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 8pm
Early in-person voting? Yes, 29 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: California is a prime two main state, which means all candidates are listed on the identical poll no matter celebration affiliation.
Polling: Trump is 54.2 share factors forward of Haley in California (73.1 p.c to 18.9 p.c), in line with FiveThirtyEight’s common of the state’s main election surveys.
The largest blue state within the nation, California has essentially the most variety of delegates to allocate in each the Republican and Democratic main elections.
California’s Republican Party modified its procedures this 12 months that almost all view as a solution to favor Trump.
If a candidate earns a 50 p.c threshold within the main election, they earn the entire delegates for the state.
Trump made remarks Monday from Mar-a-Lago after the Supreme Court dominated 9-0 in opposition to a Colorado choice that sought to take away the previous president from the state’s 2024 poll
COLORADO
Delegate Count: 37 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 7pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 15 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Hybrid. If registered, voters should forged their poll of their celebration’s main. But unaffiliated voters can vote for whichever poll they select within the main – however just one.
Polling: There seems to be no available polling for the presidential main between Trump and Haley in Colorado. There are a number of polls for a basic matchup between Trump and Biden that put that president a handful of factors forward of his predecessor.
Colorado’s Supreme Court dominated on December 19, 2023 that Trump is ineligible to seem on the state’s main poll. The Justices declare that Trump violated Section 3 of the 14th Amendment by collaborating in an rebellion on January 6, 2021.
But the choice was appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, placing a keep on the Colorado choice and permitting Trump to be included on printouts of the 2024 main poll within the state.
The Supreme Court dominated unanimously in a 9-0 choice on Monday – the day earlier than Super Tuesday – that it was unconstitutional for a state to determine who can run for president.
While the High Court didn’t rule on whether or not Trump engaged in an rebellion on January 6, 2021, it did say solely Congress can determine if Trump is, or will not be, eligible to run.
The ruling by the 6-3 conservative panel paves the best way to defunct lawsuits in different states – like Maine and Illinois – which are additionally attempting as well Trump from the poll underneath the 14th Amendment.
MAINE
Delegate Count: 20 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: 6am to 8pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, as quickly as absentee ballots are prepared, which is normally 30-45 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Hybrid. If registered, voters should forged their poll of their celebration’s main. But unaffiliated voters can vote in whichever celebration’s main they select – however solely one in every of them.
Polling: A February 15-19 ballot by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center exhibits Trump 58 share factors forward of Haley in Maine (77 p.c to 19 p.c).
In Maine, Trump’s title will seem on the poll regardless of an try by Democratic Secretary of State Shenna Bellows to take away it.
She determined Trump needs to be eliminated underneath Section 3 of the 14th Amendment to the Constitution – the identical argument Colorado utilized in its case.
However, a Maine choose put that call on maintain pending the U.S. Supreme Court’s choice on an analogous case in Colorado. And now that the ruling has been handed down on the nationwide degree, Trump will stay on the poll in Maine in the interim.
Regardless, the ballots in Maine have been already printed with Trump’s title on them anyway.
Bellows mentioned: ‘Donald Trump’s title is actually on the poll, as are the names of the entire candidates who submitted petition papers, certified and didn’t formally withdraw with the state of Maine.’
Activists unfurl a banner exterior the U.S. Supreme Court in Washington d.c. because it heard arguments in an attraction of a Colorado case disqualifying Trump from the 2024 poll underneath Clause 3 of the 14th Amendment alleging he ‘engaged in rebellion’ on Jan. 6, 2021. The Supreme Court dominated Monday in favor of Trump
MASSACHUSETTS
Delegate Count: 40 – winner takes most
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 8pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 10 days earlier than main Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Hybrid. If registered, voters should forged their poll of their celebration’s main. But unenrolled voters can select which celebration’s main to participate in.
Polling: Trump is forward of Haley by 36.2 share factors in a FiveThirtyEight common of polling in Massachusetts. The newest taken February 3-6 by Advantage Inc./Fiscal Alliance Foundation has Trump with 65 p.c to Haley’s 22 p.c – a 43 p.c margin.
Massachusetts and Vermont are among the many few states the place Haley hopes she will be able to choose up some extra delegates on Super Tuesday.
As very blue New England states with both partially open or open primaries, extra left-leaning and Democratic voters are in a position to head to the polls for the Republican main to vote for Haley in protest of Trump’s nomination.
MINNESOTA
Delegate Count: 39 – winner take all
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 8pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, absentee voting 46 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Open. Voters can select which celebration’s main they want to vote in. It doesn’t register the voter with a selected political celebration.
Polling: A survey carried out January 24-29 by SurveyUSA in Minnesota exhibits Trump 62 share factors forward of Haley (76 p.c to 14 p.c).
NORTH CAROLINA
Delegate Count: 74 – proportional
Voting hours on Election Day: 6:30am to 7:30pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, third Thursday earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Partially closed. Each celebration can select whether or not to permit unaffiliated voters to vote of their main. This 12 months, unaffiliated voters could select which celebration’s poll to fill out. If not one of the candidates earn 30 p.c of the vote, there’s a main runoff for a couple of weeks after the election with the highest two candidates.
Polling: Trump is forward of Haley by 53.6 p.c in North Carolina, in line with a FiveThirtyEight polling common within the state. The newest ballot from Capen Analytics on February 21 exhibits Trump with 64 p.c and Haley with 36 p.c in North Carolina – a 28-point margin.
Democrats need to flip North Carolina within the basic election.
The state has a Democratic governor and lawyer basic, however a majority Republican legislature and is changing into more and more purple over time.
In the 2016 presidential election, Trump gained with 49.8 p.c of the vote, which was 3.6 p.c greater than Hillary Clinton. That margin shrunk to only 1.3 p.c in 2020 with Trump incomes 49.9 p.c to Biden’s 48.6 p.c.
The largest voting bloc in North Carolina is now unaffiliated voters, together with the variety of registered Democrats taking place and the registered Republican depend going up. Democrats have misplaced 81,395 voters and Republicans have added 37,285 voters within the final two years.
Meanwhile, the variety of unaffiliated voters within the state grew by 232,212 – which means they’ll select whether or not they want to fill out a Republican or Democratic poll.
The states breakdown is 36.7 p.c unaffiliated, 32.5 p.c registered Democrat and 30 p.c registered Republican.
OKLAHOMA
Delegate Count: 43 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 7pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, absentee voting the Wednesday previous Election Day.
Open/Closed main election? Partially closed. Each celebration can select whether or not to permit unaffiliated voters to vote of their main in November of every odd-numbered 12 months. Since 2021, Democrats have allowed independents to vote of their primaries, however the Republican and Libertarian events haven’t made the identical willpower. If a candidate doesn’t earn 51 p.c of the vote, Oklahoma holds a main runoff a couple of weeks later.
Polling: A Morning Consult ballot carried out in Oklahoma on January 23 by means of February 4 places Trump a whopping 77 share factors forward of Haley (88 p.c to 11 p.c). Previous polling within the state put Trump up in opposition to DeSantis.
TENNESSEE
Delegate Count: 58 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: Opening varies by county, however polls shut in Eastern time zones at 8pm and Central time zones at 7pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 20 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Partially open. Tennessee permits voters to take part in whichever celebration’s main they select when signing in with a ballot employee.
Polling: A FiveThirtyEight polling common has Trump 68.6 share factors forward of Haley (83.6 p.c to fifteen p.c).
TEXAS
Delegate Count: 161 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 7pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 17 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Open. Voters can select which celebration’s poll they want to vote for in every main election. It doesn’t register the voter with a selected political celebration. If a candidate doesn’t earn 51 p.c of the vote, Texas holds a main runoff election a couple of weeks later with the 2 highest-earning candidates.
Polling: Trump is 69.9 share factors forward of Haley within the Lone Star State, in line with FiveThirtyEight’s polling common. The newest survey from YouGov taken February 2-12 exhibits Trump forward by 71 factors (80 p.c to 9 p.c).
Texas is the most important crimson state with essentially the most delegates at stake within the main election.
As the state bears the brunt of the southern border disaster, Texas voters are fired up this election cycle and wish to get Trump again within the White House to reverse Biden’s immigration insurance policies.
Republicans say that immigration is their first difficulty when deciding who to vote for within the 2024 presidential election – adopted by inflation and the financial system. Independent voters listing immigration because the second largest difficulty for them.
An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist ballot taken earlier this month exhibits that 44 p.c of Republican voters listing immigration as their number-one voting difficulty.
The southern border disaster and unlawful immigration stays the highest difficulty for Republicans heading into the 2024 election. Pictured: A sequence of migrants lock arms as they wade into the Rio Grande River to cross into Eagle Pass, Texas from Mexico on Feb. 24, 2024
Trump (pictured on the border in Jan. 2021) says that if elected president once more he’ll provoke the most important deportation of unlawful immigrants in U.S. historical past
UTAH (caucus)
Delegate Count: 40 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: 7am to 8pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 14 days earlier than election day. *Utah primarily conducts elections by mail.
Open/Closed main election?: Partially closed. Each celebration can select whether or not to permit unaffiliated voters to take part of their main.
Polling: A Dan Jones & Associates ballot carried out January 16-21 reveals that Trump is forward of Haley by 27 share factors amongst Utah’s registered voters (49 p.c to 22 p.c).
VERMONT
Delegate Count: 17 – winner take most
Voting hours on Election Day: Opening varies between 5am and 10am and all polling places shut at 7pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 45 days earlier than Election Day. Vermont primarily conducts elections by mail.
Open/Closed main election?: Open. Voters can select which celebration’s poll they want to vote for in every main election. It doesn’t register the voter with a selected political celebration. If there’s a tie, the candidates go to a main runoff a couple of weeks after the election.
Polling: A University of New Hampshire Survey Center ballot carried out amongst seemingly Republican voters in Vermont from February 15-19 exhibits 61 p.c want Trump versus the 31 p.c preferring Haley.
VIRGINIA
Delegate Count: 48 – proportional
Voting hours on Election Day: 6am to 7pm
Early in-person voting?: Yes, 45 days earlier than Election Day.
Open/Closed main election?: Open. Voters can select which celebration’s poll they want to vote for in every main election. It doesn’t register the voter with a selected political celebration.
Polling: Trump is 63.3 share factors forward of Haley in Virginia, in line with FiveThirtyEight polling common. A Morning Consult ballot has Trump 59 p.c forward of Haley (78 p.c to 19 p.c).
WHAT ABOUT THE DEMOCRATS?
The Democratic presidential main continues to be taking place despite the fact that incumbent President Biden is the de facto nominee with primarily no severe contenders.
Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) continues to be working in opposition to Biden, however has to this point failed to select up a single delegate.
Democrats are holding Super Tuesday contests in the identical states as Republicans apart from Alaska.
And the Democrats added Iowa to the listing of states voting on March 5.
This 12 months, Democrats broke from the decades-long custom of holding their first contest in Iowa, whereas Republicans nonetheless had that state go first.