London24NEWS

ECB fee minimize forecast provides strain on Bank of England

  • Bank meeting in June to decide whether to cut rates from 16-year peak of 5.25%
  • Latest UK inflation figures last week showed sharp drop to 2.3% in April 

Interest rates in Europe are set to be cut next week, stepping up pressure on the Bank of England to follow suit.

Policymakers at the European Central Bank (ECB) are preparing to lower borrowing costs from a historic high when they meet on Thursday.

It comes ahead of a crunch Bank of England meeting in June to decide if rates should be cut from a 16-year peak of 5.25 per cent in a boost for households.

With the ECB forecast to lower interest rates, the Bank of England faces extra pressure

With the ECB forecast to lower interest rates, the Bank of England faces extra pressure 

Last week official figures showed that UK inflation dropped sharply in April to 2.3 per cent.

In response, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak heralded ‘brighter days ahead’, saying inflation was ‘back to normal’. 

The economy also bounced back from recession at the start of 2024.

 Last month, the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee held rates, prolonging the misery for mortgage-payers.

Although the inflation rate has fallen close to the Bank’s 2 per cent target, borrowing rates are expected to stay high until autumn despite the ECB move.

Lindsay James, of Quilter Investors, said the ECB was ‘in a stronger position to look at rate cuts’ as core annual inflation has fallen more than in the UK.

Investors are betting that the ECB will lower rates by 0.25 percentage points from a record high of 4 per cent at their meeting.

Yesterday ECB policymaker Olli Rehn said the ‘time is ripe’ to start cutting rates next month as long as there were no more energy price rises.

What could the election mean for your money? 

The Prime Minister put an end to all the speculation this week by giving us the date for the general election: July 4.

That comes as the latest inflation reading was 2.3 per cent, a little above forecasts making a base rate cut next month now unlikely.

Simon Lambert, Georgie Frost and Lee Boyce delve into the economic state of affairs and what the upcoming election could mean for your money.

Press play to listen to the episode on the player above, or listen (and please subscribe and review us if you like the podcast) at Apple Podcasts,  Audioboom and Spotify or visit our This is Money Podcast page.