Tories face election wipeout with Labour set to realize a 416 majority
Labour is heading for a majority of 416 in an election result which would prove cataclysmic for the Tory Party, according to a new Mail on Sunday poll.
The Deltapoll survey gives Sir Keir Starmer‘s party a 25-point lead, which would reduce the Conservatives to a Liberal Democrat-sized rump of 37 seats.
Even Prime Minister Rishi Sunak would lose his Yorkshire seat, despite defending a majority of more than 27,000.
The polling company carefully caveats that the projection is based on a crude uniform swing, and should be treated with caution.
Nonetheless, the poll, which was partly conducted in the aftermath of the furore over Rishi Sunak’s early return from the D-Day commemorations, highlights the scale of Sunak’s task in the run up to the July 4th vote.
The Deltapoll survey gives Sir Keir Starmer’s party a 25-point lead, which would reduce the Conservatives to a Liberal Democrat-sized rump of 37 seats
The poll puts Labour on 46 per cent and the Conservatives on 21 per cent, their lowest rating in this Parliament. Nigel Farage’s Reform is on 12 per cent.
Despite the colossal Labour lead, it reveals some scepticism about Starmer.
Asked about the Labour leader’s insistence, during last Tuesday’s leaders’ debate, that he would not support the use of private healthcare for family members who need it, only 13 per cent of respondents agreed.
And a total of 59 per cent say they are ‘worried’ by the prospect of the Labour Party raising taxes by £2,000 per household – a controversial claim made by Sunak during the debate.
In addition, 41 per cent believe that Labour will work to reverse Brexit if they win power – 25 per cent disagree.
But only one in five – 22 per cent – think that Sunak should do a deal with Nigel Farage to save the Conservatives.
Even Prime Minister Rishi Sunak would lose his Yorkshire seat, despite defending a majority of more than 27,000
Joe Twyman, Co-founder and Director of Deltapoll, said: ‘After a difficult few days for Rishi Sunak and the Conservative Party, Deltapoll’s results for today’s Mail on Sunday will make for grim reading as party support hits an all-time low for this Parliament.
The launch of the party manifestos next week will be a crucial moment. If that launch does not bring about a swift and sustained turnaround in the for-tunes of Rishi Sunak specifically and the Conservatives in general, it is difficult to see what can.’
Deltapoll interviewed 2,010 British adults online between 6th – 8th June 2024. The data have been weighted to be representative of the British adult population as a whole.
