Presidential election odds dwell: Three swing states shift in newest Trump-Harris polling forecast
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are zigzagging across crucial swing states with one final day of campaigning ahead of the election.
Trump is rallying in three swing states of Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania on the last day of the campaign. Meanwhile, Harris is hitting Philadelphia, Allentown and Pittsburgh with star-studded supporters including Oprah and Katy Perry.
A final poll by the New York Times released yesterday had Donald Trump behind Kamala Harris in four critical swing states: Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin.
They are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania and Trump is up by one point in Arizona.
The Real Clear Polling average has Trump up over Harris nationally by 0.1 percent. This race may end up being the closet in U.S. history as a new TIPP poll has both candidates tied on 48 percent on the election eve.
And according to the betting markets, Trump has recaptured a slight lead over Harris with less than 48 hours until the polls close after a shock Iowa poll had him behind the VP in the solidly red state.
Follow all the developments in our live blog:
DailyMail.com’s interactive guide on Trump and Harris’ path to victory in 2024 election
Exclusive:J.D. Vance tells DailyMail.com when he thinks we will find out the results of the presidential election
DailyMail.com’s election model shows the race has narrowed even FURTHER
The final day of the campaign has seen big movements at the state level in our model. With Michigan and Wisconsin veering strongly towards Harris due to new polls and correlation effects within the model.
With these states now considered Harris states, the race has shifted such that Pennsylvania is the deciding state for both campaigns – in 56 percent of simulations Pennsylvania is the deciding state.
Whilst October saw Trump’s rise give him multiple routes to the White House, the latest rounds of polling have closed many of those off.
Both campaigns are now fighting for Pennsylvania – literally tens of thousands of voters might decide this election and it may come down to the thinnest of margins.
As the fog of campaigning lifts on the battleground states the final face-off is set to take place in the Keystone state itself. Brace yourselves. We are in for a very bumpy ride.
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