London24NEWS

Sir Keir Starmer’s unpopularity disaster deepens as nationwide ballot exhibits Coalition of Chaos threatening the UK

Sir Keir Starmer‘s unpopularity crisis deepened last night as a bombshell national poll put the Greens second – ahead of Labour.

Zack Polanski’s party has also leapfrogged the Tories following last week’s by-election humiliation for the Prime Minister.

It prompted warnings that Labour will be forced to form a ‘scary coalition of the Left’ with Mr Polanski, the Lib Dems, Plaid Cymru and the SNP at the next election.

Support for the Greens is now at 21 per cent, up by four points in the week since their victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election, according to the YouGov voting intention survey.

Nigel Farage‘s Reform UK topped the poll on 23 per cent, with Labour and the Tories tied on 16, both down two.

The Lib Dems were unchanged at 14 per cent.

The poll gives the Greens their highest national voting intention score – and also represents Labour’s lowest.

It comes as Election Maps UK’s Nowcast Model – which simulates how a general election would pan out if one were held tomorrow – projected that Reform UK would be the largest party.

Election Maps UK's Nowcast Model – which simulates how a general election would pan out if one were held tomorrow – projected that Reform UK would be the largest party

Election Maps UK’s Nowcast Model – which simulates how a general election would pan out if one were held tomorrow – projected that Reform UK would be the largest party

Sir Keir Starmer's (pictured on March 2, 2026) unpopularity crisis deepened last night as a bombshell national poll put the Greens second – ahead of Labour

Sir Keir Starmer’s (pictured on March 2, 2026) unpopularity crisis deepened last night as a bombshell national poll put the Greens second – ahead of Labour 

Mr Farage’s party would win 227 seats, an increase of 222, according to the model.

The Greens would be the second-biggest party, with 135 seats, while the Lib Dems would have 92 MPs.

The simulation also projected that the Tories would win 59 seats, a drop of 62, while Labour would lose 371 MPs, leaving it with just 40.

The model suggested that if Left-wing parties formed a coalition, they would have 335 seats, nine ahead of the figure needed to form a majority. 

Robert Jenrick yesterday said the possibility of a Left-wing coalition had to be ‘taken seriously’, warning it would consign Britain to ‘five, ten years’ of decline.

The Reform MP told TalkTV: ‘The next general election, whenever it comes, is likely to be a straight fight between Nigel Farage and Reform on the one hand, and a scary coalition of the Left on the other hand. 

‘Whether that’s Keir Starmer or whoever has replaced him when he’s kicked out, like Angela Rayner, in coalition with Zack Polanski and the Green Party.’

The poll of 2,073 adults found that the Greens are the most popular party in all age groups under 50, with 49 per cent of 18 to 24-year-olds and 27 per cent of 25 to 49-year-olds willing to back them.

They are also the most popular with female voters, backed by 23 per cent of them.

The poll also reveals voters who backed Labour at the general election are abandoning the party for the Greens.

Some 31 per cent who backed Sir Keir at the last election said they would now vote for Mr Polanski’s party, with 43 per cent still willing to support Labour.

Meanwhile, 28 per cent of those who voted Tory in 2024 would now back Reform, compared to 62 per cent who would vote for Kemi Badenoch’s party again if a general election was held tomorrow.

Anthony Wells, at YouGov, said the polling is likely to have been driven by ‘publicity from the Gorton and Denton by-election’.