Rishi Sunak’s majority in his personal seat set to crumble, ballot reveals
Rishi Sunak’s majority in his own seat is set to crumble at the General Election, a new poll shows
It comes as the Tories fear a wipeout at the ballot box on July 4 with polls pointing to a huge Labour landslide after 14 years of Conservative rule. Last week a mega-survey suggested Mr Sunak could become the first sitting Prime Minister to lose his seat at a General Election – with the Tories reduced to just 53 seats.
A new constituency poll shows the Tory leader clinging on to the seat – but with a massively reduced vote share – in what would be a bruising result. Mr Sunak was last elected with a thumping majority of 27,210 votes in the traditionally safe seat of Richmond in Yorkshire at the 2019 General Election.
His seat has been abolished under the boundary review to create the new constituency of Richmond and Northallerton – which Mr Sunak will contest. Estimates of the new seat have suggested the PM would have won 63.3% of the vote share if it was contested in 2019 – with a majority of over 24,000 votes.
But according to the new constituency poll by Survation for the 38 Degrees campaign website, Mr Sunak could win just 39% of the vote share. Labour rival Tom Wilson, who Mr Sunak shook hands with yesterday on the campaign trail, is on 29% while Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party in third place on 18%.
Listen to our punchy General Election podcast The Division Bell
Listen to our new The Division Bell podcast, hosted by Mirror political editor John Stevens and Express political editor Sam Lister.
Each episode will see John and Sam go head-to-head on a political topic – so listeners can expect a lively discussion!
New episodes are available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and YouTube every Tuesday and Thursday throughout the General Election campaign, with a special edition on the morning after polling day.
The polling data also shows Keir Starmer winning his safe Labour seat of Holborn and St Pancras in July with 54% of the vote share. It finds his vote share will also fall by 12 points – but with his closest rival from the Green Party in a distant second on 14%.
Survation conducted a telephone poll of 507 adults aged 18+ in the Richmond and Northallerton constituency on behalf of 38 Degrees between 12th – 21st June 2024.
