Legendary investor Stan Druckenmiller says inventory market is ‘very satisfied’ about who will win the 2024 presidential election

Legendary investor Stan Druckenmiller has said that the stock market is ‘convinced’ that Donald Trump will win the presidential election. 

‘I would have to guess Trump is the favorite to win the election,’ the billionaire said during an interview with Bloomberg earlier this month. 

Druckenmiller, a hedge fund manager and founder of Duquesne Family Office, said the market appears ‘very convinced’ that the former president will win in November. 

It comes amid reports that some large hedge fund managers, including Dan Loeb, are getting behind trades that could pay out if Trump is elected next month. 

Druckenmiller said that there are clues in the bank stocks and in cryptocurrency that markets are pricing in a Trump victory.

The investor made the comments during an interview on October 16 with Sonali Basak.

She asked what the ‘Druckenmiller playbook’ is around this election cycle and what he thinks the mostly likely scenario is for what will happen next month. 

‘It’s an evolving situation, and if you had asked me this 12 days ago, I would have said, “I don’t have a clue, it’s still a total toss-up, and I don’t have any conviction who is going to win the election,”‘ the 71-year-old billionaire said.

But he said he likes to look to the stock market for indicators as to the future of the economy – and as a clue during elections. 

‘I remember how right the market was on Ronald Reagan in 1980, despite what the pundits were saying,’ he said.

‘And I must say in the last 12 days, the market and the inside of the market is very convinced Trump is going to win.

‘You can see it in the bank stocks, you can see it in crypto, you can even see it in DJT, his social media company.’

Druckenmiller did not endorse either Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris, however, saying that he will likely not vote for either candidate. 

He says he believes their industrial policies are equally bad for free market capitalism, Harris’s policies are ‘worse’ for regulation and business, and called Trump a ‘blowhard.’

‘I don’t judge anyone who wants to vote for Trump, but for me, it’s just a red line, so I’ll probably write in someone when I get to the polls,’ he said. 

Druckenmiller, who has a net worth of around $6.9 billion, made his name managing money for George Soros for more than a decade. He also funded Nikki Haley’s primary campaign against Trump. 

His comments come as major hedge funds are positioning themselves to profit if Donald Trump wins, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Big fund managers have sensed a shift in momentum away from Harris – and are buying stocks that would benefit from a Republican victory, such as those linked to prisons.

That is despite the polls still largely indicating that the candidates are neck and neck.

For example, GEO Group, a private-prison operator, has jumped 21 percent this October, on track for its best month since 2022, while bitcoin miner Riot Platforms has surged 34 percent.

Dan Loeb, a prominent hedge fund manager, believes a Trump win is becoming more likely. 

His $11 billion firm, Third Point, is ramping up investments in stocks and options that stand to benefit, while moving away from companies that may not thrive under a Republican administration.

It comes as fellow legendary investor Warren Buffett made it known that he will not be endorsing Harris or Trump for president. 

A memo from the ‘Sage of Omaha’s’ firm released Wednesday said he would not be taking a stance in the election and any other suggestion would be ‘fraudulent’. 

Meanwhile Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase – the largest bank in the US – has reportedly privately endorsed Harris, despite keeping quiet publicly. 

The chief executive has reportedly not made his stance known publicly because he is afraid that Trump will retaliate against people and companies who opposed his run if he is elected.